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Research notes on chess analytics, rating mappings, benchmark construction, and data-driven improvement methods used by Elo+Chess.

PDF June 1, 2026

Building Stratified Lichess Benchmark Curves for Elo+Chess

A methodology note explaining how Elo+Chess builds stratified Lichess benchmark curves, player-history percentile targets, and production report graphics from large move-state and player-game samples.

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PDF May 29, 2026

Estimating Cross-Platform Chess Rating Mappings with Modal Regression

A methods note describing the Elo+Chess same-username rating-mapping study, the modal fit motivation, filtering criteria, and current Lichess-to-Chess.com conversion estimates by game type.

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Medium June 5, 2026

Elo+Chess Medium Article

A public Medium article sharing Elo+Chess research observations and charts for a wider chess audience.

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Article June 5, 2026

Does Bullet and Blitz Hurt 10min Rapid Improvement on Lichess.org?

An observational Lichess.org study of more than one billion public games testing whether 1min bullet and 3min blitz volume is associated with slower 10min rapid improvement for beginner and club-level players.

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Article June 5, 2026

Do Beginners Resign Too Early?

A low-key research note on Lichess 10+0 rapid resignation-like endings. In this dataset, well-sampled rating bands from under 800 to nearly 1800 typically resign around a 7-pawn Stockfish disadvantage.

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Article June 5, 2026

A comparison of pieces remaining on-board for valid game endings across Elo buckets.

A Lichess study comparing how many pieces remain on the board at valid checkmate and engine-confirmed resignation-like endings across Bullet, Blitz, 10min Rapid, and >10min Rapid.

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Gallery June 3, 2026

Pawn Patience Gallery

Static research gallery showing the average move number before each original pawn is first touched, split by game type, color, pawn file, and Elo bucket.

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Gallery June 3, 2026

f3/f6 Move Metrics

Static research gallery for White f3 and Black f6 rates, including before castling, before development completion, and associated win-rate views by Elo bucket.

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Gallery June 4, 2026

Pawn Capture and Promotion Outcomes

Static research gallery showing the average row where pawns are captured, how often promoted pieces are captured immediately, and how often captured promotions produce no net material gain.

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